Sunday, July 8, 2012

Weak jobs number fuels demand for apartments


Earlier in the year, I wrote that the time was approaching to consider investing in an apartment REIT. Well, this past week, I got the confirmation I was waiting for …

Bloomberg
published the results from a study that found that during this year’s second quarter apartment rents in the U.S. climbed the most in almost five years. The average is now $1,041 per month compared with $1,028 for the first quarter and $1,006 last year.

Some reasons for the jump:



·       Home foreclosures — The rising number of homeowners kicked out of their homes need some place to live.

·       Collapse in housing prices — Many homeowners have simply walked away … sending the key to their lender … once their equity got wiped out by the Great Recession. Like those who were foreclosed on, they need to live somewhere. 

·       Lack of confidence — Consumers are worried about the economy and their jobs. Thus they’re afraid to make any long-term commitments.

·       Bad credit — Unlike last decade’s freewheeling lending standards, lenders are now reluctant to lend to buyers with poor credit. 

Will the trend for rising rents continue? I’d say yes. And last week’s disappointing jobs report backs me up.


I’m looking at a few REITs that specialize in residential rental real estate. And I’ll post them after I’ve picked one to buy. Meanwhile, you might want to check out this is sub-sector of the real estate market on your own.


Portfolio Update


The REITs in the e-FinancialWriter portfolio are doing exactly what they’re supposed to do — beating the pants off the S&P 500 — and up 31.82% since inception.


REIT
Sector
Blog date
 Price
 Closing price 07/06/12
Return to date %
Dividend yield %
PSA
Self storage
      90.75
                                           144.61
59.35
2.84







VTR
Health care
      52.87
                                             63.43
19.97
3.79
HCP
Health care

       36.81
                                                44.41
20.65
4.44
HCN
Health care

      47.53
                                             59.01
24.15
4.99







IAECREIN:CN
Canada
 19.45cn
24.99cn
28.50
0
ZRE:CN
Canada

 16.29cn
20.24cn
24.25
4.99
INVRLPRA:CN
Canada

 5.45cn
 5.50cn
1.00
1.74

NNN 
Retail
27.18
28.37
4.38
 5.44







Index return
since inception*




31.82

Avg 12-mo
return of REITs in portfolio*




17.59

Avg dividend yield of REITs in portfolio




3.50

12-mo return
S&P REIT index as of 07/06/12*




8.92

12-mo return S&P 500*




0.81

Source: Bloomberg
*Does not include dividends paid

If you have trouble seeing the chart, just in zoom in with your web browser.

Enjoy your weekend!

George

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